The US labor market has slowed down: June set an anti-record over the past two years - ForumDaily
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The US labor market slowed down: June set an anti-record over the past two years

US job growth slowed last month. This suggests that the increase in the base interest rate puts pressure on the US economy and, perhaps, begins to slow it down. The edition told in more detail with the BBC.

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Employers added 209 jobs in June, the smallest increase in more than two years, according to the Labor Department.

This was less than expected, although the unemployment rate still fell to 3,6% from 3,7% in May.

The labor market is being watched closely as the US central bank raised interest rates on loans to fight inflation.

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Employment remains strong, although the Federal Reserve's benchmark interest rate jumped slightly over the year to more than 5%.

Analysts said in June that the 209 jobs added were more than enough to support a larger workforce, though this is the smallest number since December 000.

Wages also continued to rise, with average hourly wages up 4,4% year-over-year.

But the monthly report is accompanied by other data, such as job cuts, that suggest the job market may be cooling.

“Today’s jobs report is a little weaker than many expected,” said Richard Flynn, managing director of Charles Schwab UK. “The labor market remains tight, but investors are likely to interpret these numbers as a sign that cracks are starting to appear.”

Economists have been predicting slower growth for months now as higher interest rates force consumers to cut spending elsewhere and make it more costly to borrow to expand businesses.

But job growth has consistently outperformed forecasts, and ADP's hiring report offered hope that that will continue. However, the Labor Department report painted a slightly different picture—showing that government and health care firms boosted hiring in June.

Retail and transport companies have cut jobs, while leisure and hospitality businesses have added just 21 jobs, leaving overall employment in the sector below pre-pandemic levels.

Analysts are still waiting for the US central bank to raise rates again at its meeting this month.

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While inflation in the US has fallen year-on-year to 4%, it remains above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.

Forecasts released by the bank at its last meeting showed that most officials thought they would need to raise interest rates to stabilize prices.

“Job growth has slowed but remains too strong to justify an extended Fed pause. More importantly, given the unexpected rise in average hourly wages, the pressure is still too much, said Seema Shah, chief global strategist at Principal Asset Management. “Today’s report will not give the Fed much reason to refrain from participating in the July meeting.”

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