Heavy rains and strong winds: the first storm of the hurricane season is approaching Florida

Arthur, the first named storm of the hurricane season, is likely to form on Friday, May 15, or Saturday, May 16, off the coast of Florida, reports CNN.

Photo: Shutterstock

June 1 is the official start of Atlantic hurricane season, but for the sixth year in a row, the first tropical storms form over the Atlantic much earlier.

“It is likely that this low pressure center could become a tropical or subtropical storm by late Friday evening, May 15, or Saturday, May 16, near the northwestern Bahamas,” the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said in a statement.

According to the Center, there is an 80% chance that this meteorological phenomenon will turn into a storm system with a name.

Regardless of whether this phenomenon takes its name or not, the storm will bring heavy rains to parts of the Florida Keys, southeast Florida, and the Bahamas on Friday, May 15, and Saturday, May 16.

On the subject: The hurricane season begins earlier: the first tropical storm approaches Florida

Gusts of wind are also possible throughout the region.

“Hazardous surf conditions and unsafe rip currents are possible along portions of the southeastern U.S. coast this weekend (May 16 and 17) and early next week,” the NHC said.

Most predicted weather patterns suggest that the storm will last for some time off the southeast coast of the United States before moving further into the Atlantic.

In the Pacific, there is also an interesting beginning to the tropical season. On April 25, the tropical depression ONE-E formed south of the Mexican region of Baja California, becoming the first such meteorological event recorded in April in the eastern Pacific Ocean.

This situation contrasts with the western part of the Pacific Ocean, where the tropical season began unusually late for the eighth time since 1950.

If this system in the Atlantic gets a name, it will be called Arthur. It can be classified as subtropical.

"The subtropical storm is a hybrid of a normal cold-core low pressure area and a pure warm-core tropical system," CNN meteorologist Dave Hennen explained.

Photo: twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic

For a subtropical storm to become a hurricane, it must be fully tropical—with a warm core—and then develop hurricane force winds.

"This potential storm is unlikely to become a full-fledged hurricane," CNN meteorologist Chad Myers said. “However, with elevated ocean temperatures for much of the year, it is likely that mid-May will mark a new start to the tropical storm season.”

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Although the system is currently largely disorganized, it is expected to move to an area with less wind shear, which is a much more favorable environment and will allow the storm to become more organized and powerful.

Ocean surface temperatures continue to remain above average across the Atlantic - except in the colder North Atlantic. Warm water at the surface is the fuel needed for hurricane development.

At the moment, published more than a dozen early forecasts for this year's storm systems. Although official data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration do not foreshadow the first storm until May 21, industry forecasts indicate that the Atlantic is facing an active hurricane season.

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