Tropical Storm Lee is heading to Florida and could develop into a powerful hurricane

Forecasters expect Tropical Storm Lee to quickly intensify into an "extremely dangerous" hurricane in the Atlantic Ocean by this weekend. The season is approaching its typical peak in early September. CNN.

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On September 6, Lee could become a hurricane and then become a severe Category 3 or stronger storm by the end of this week. The Leeward Islands of the Caribbean are expected to feel its impact over the weekend.

“Lee is already close to hurricane category and will likely reach that status later today,” the National Hurricane Center said in a 5 a.m. update. “While it is too early to determine the location and extent of these potential impacts, we should monitor Lee's progress and future forecast updates.”

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Forecast for the coming days

The tropical storm is accompanied by maximum sustained winds of 104 km per hour and is located about 2000 km east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands, according to the hurricane center. The islands include the Virgin Islands, Saint Martin, Antigua and Barbuda.

Waves caused by Lee are expected to reach part of the Lesser Antilles on September 8th. These waves can cause life-threatening surges and reverse currents. According to the hurricane center, Lee's winds can reach 10 km per hour on September 240 in the evening.

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Any changes in its path as it approaches the islands could result in even more exposure to bad weather. Anyone in the Eastern Caribbean, including the Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, and the Bahamas, will need to keep a close eye on the forecast.

It's too early to tell if this system will have a direct impact on the US mainland, but even if the hurricane continues out to sea, dangerous currents could once again threaten the east coast. One person died as a result of a backflow in New Jersey over Labor Day weekend.

Storm intensification and peak season

The storm will intensify rapidly, according to the National Hurricane Center. Lee intensified into a tropical storm on September 6 after forming earlier in the morning in the tropical central Atlantic and passing through extremely warm waters.

A fast amplification is when a storm wind rapidly intensifies over a short period of time. Scientists have defined it as an increase in wind speeds of at least 56 km per hour in 24 hours or less, a phenomenon facilitated by warm ocean waters.

As Li moves steadily from west to northwest this week, he will enter increasingly favorable conditions for intensification, with abundant moisture, low wind shear and warm water extending nearly the full length of the potential cyclone's predicted path.

“All indications are that it will become a major hurricane by the end of the forecast period,” the hurricane center said in a discussion of the storm.

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Lee will be the fourth to achieve this status this season, after Don, Franklin and Idalia. The hurricane is expected to intensify significantly by the weekend, becoming the third Category 3 or greater hurricane of the season by the weekend.

Sunday, September 10 is the climatological peak of Atlantic hurricane season, when the basin is at its busiest on average. A surge in tropical activity associated with this date is not unusual, but it can quickly become dangerous.

The 2023 Atlantic season has already been busy, exceeding the average on a number of different metrics, including the number of named storms, the number of hurricanes and the number of major hurricanes, said Philip Klotzbach, a research scientist at Colorado State University.

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