US intelligence said that Russia is preparing provocations in the Donbass to start a war with Ukraine - ForumDaily
The article has been automatically translated into English by Google Translate from Russian and has not been edited.
Переклад цього матеріалу українською мовою з російської було автоматично здійснено сервісом Google Translate, без подальшого редагування тексту.
Bu məqalə Google Translate servisi vasitəsi ilə avtomatik olaraq rus dilindən azərbaycan dilinə tərcümə olunmuşdur. Bundan sonra mətn redaktə edilməmişdir.

US intelligence says Russia is preparing provocations in Donbas to start a war with Ukraine

The United States has information that Russia prepared a group of people in advance for a false flag operation in eastern Ukraine in order to create a pretext for an invasion, reports CNN.

Photo: Shutterstock

A US official said Jan. 14 that the US has evidence that these fighters are trained in urban warfare and the use of explosives to carry out acts of sabotage.

The accusation echoes a statement released by the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense on January 14, which says that Russian intelligence agencies are preparing provocations against Russian forces in an attempt to frame Ukraine. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan hinted at the intelligence during a January 13 briefing with reporters.

“Our intelligence community has received intelligence that Russia is laying the groundwork for being able to fabricate a pretext for an invasion,” Sullivan said.

“We saw this play in 2014. They are preparing it again, and the administration will have additional details about this potential pretext to share with the press within the next 24 hours, ”he added.

The statement of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine on January 14 says that "the military units of the aggressor country and its satellites are ordered to prepare for such provocations."

On the subject: Sanctions against Putin personally and weapons for Ukraine: the United States threatens Russia with a very tough package of restrictive measures

The conclusion of American intelligence was made after weekly diplomatic meetings between Russian and Western officials over the concentration of tens of thousands of Russian troops along the border with Ukraine. But in negotiations failed to achieve any breakthroughs, since Russia has not committed to de-escalation, and US and NATO officials have said that Moscow's demands, including the demand that NATO has never accepted Ukraine in the Alliance, do not make sense.

A number of Ukrainian government websites were attacked on January 14 in a move that European officials have warned will further heighten tensions around Ukraine.

According to the US official, the Biden administration believes that Russia may be preparing to invade Ukraine, "which has the potential to lead to massive human rights violations and war crimes if diplomacy fails to achieve its goals."

“The Russian military plans to start provocative actions weeks before the military invasion, which could start between mid-January and mid-February,” the official said. “We saw this play in 2014 with Crimea.”

The U.S. has seen Russian influencers begin to push Russian audiences to intervene, the official said, including by highlighting narratives about Ukraine’s deteriorating human rights record and the increasing militancy of Ukrainian leaders.

“In December, Russian-language content on social media increased to an average of nearly 3500 posts per day, up 200% from the November daily average,” the official said.

US, NATO and European officials have had important meetings this week with Russian officials. Following three meetings on January 13, both sides expressed pessimistic forecasts. Russia's deputy foreign minister said the talks had reached a "dead end" and saw no reason to continue, while a senior US official warned that after the diplomatic sessions, "the loud drumbeat of war is sounding."

“While our proposals are aimed at reducing the military confrontation, de-escalating the overall situation in Europe, the exact opposite is happening in the West. NATO members are building up forces and aviation. In the territories that are directly adjacent to Ukraine, on the Black Sea, the scale of exercises has recently increased significantly,” Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said on January 14.

On January 14, a number of Ukrainian government websites, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, were subjected to cyber attack with threatening text, in which Ukrainians were asked to "be afraid and expect the worst." The Ukrainian government has said that Russia appears to be behind the attack.

A US National Security Council spokesman said President Joe Biden had been briefed on the attack. The official said the US does not yet have a culprit behind the attack, but will "provide Ukraine with whatever support it needs to rebuild."

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European Union chief diplomat Josep Borrell condemned the cyberattack and warned that it exacerbates an "already tense situation" in the region.

When asked if Russian government or non-government actors were behind the attacks, Borrell replied that although he did not intend to point fingers, there was a certain possibility of where the attack came from.

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Miscellanea Russian aggression Russia World war with Ukraine
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