Obama wants to start talks with Iran in December
Remaining in the White House for a second term, President Barack Obama plans to begin bilateral talks with Iran no later than December, even before the January inauguration, believing that the window of opportunity is very narrow and may close at any time.
In fact, no more than three months are left for negotiations, since the presidential election campaign begins in Iran in March, and the elections will be held on June 14. The health of the supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei leaves much to be desired, his working day is shortened, and from March he will be completely absorbed in the party struggle, because he wants to remove Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his clique from power.
In Tehran, however, they prefer to postpone nuclear diplomacy for eight months, and begin negotiations after the presidential election. “We were waiting for the presidential campaign to end in America, so why not wait for us now?” One Iranian statesman asked a rhetorical question.
Currently, Khamenei is looking for a suitable candidate for the presidency. He does not want to choose a charismatic and competent person, he needs a man without ambition, willing to perform a decorative function, and Khamenei himself will be in charge of the country.
Washington believes that it may appeal to parliament with a request to abolish the presidency with the transfer of its powers to the prime minister, who will be elected from the 290 deputies of the Iranian parliament.
Parliament Speaker Ali Larijani and his brother, Justice Minister Sadiq Larijani, have long been working against Ahmadinejad in parliament. Ali Larijani himself would like to become prime minister.
Washington believes that if negotiations begin in December and last until March, then Khamenei will have to stop them so that Ahmadinejad will not accuse him of making too big concessions to America and freezing his military nuclear program.
The supreme leader cannot afford to let the generals, the Guardians of the Islamic Revolution and the street oppose it.
In the past few days, Tehran, apparently, decided in principle to withdraw from the agreement to begin negotiations with Washington. A few hours after the victory of President Obama in the elections, the official Iranian news agency quoted Sadik Larijani, who called the US sanctions "a crime against the Iranian people." According to him, "it is impossible to change relations at once" with America, and the US president has nothing to expect fast talks with Iran. “Americans should not think that they can hold our country hostage by sitting down at the negotiating table,” said Larijani.
The gap between Washington and Tehran has not diminished. Obama wants the talks to last no more than three months and end with the signing of an agreement on ending a nuclear conflict, while the ayatollahs prefer the slow process on 8-9 months to have time to finalize their nuclear program.
This tactic will help Tehran erase another Israeli "red line".
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