Left Migration in America: What Causes People to Move - ForumDaily
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Left Migration in America: What Makes People Move

Americans are a dynamic people. World statistics on the number of cars per capita shows that America is in the first place among the “big” countries (and third place among all countries - after the dwarf San Marino and Monaco).

Фото: Depositphotos

Where do Americans go, except for work, shopping, and (possibly) to school or kindergarten? Americans move, and move quite often. They move to neighboring cities and to other states. It seems from the outside that the USA is a big monolithic country. In fact, the United States is a federal republic, where each state is a state independent of the federal government with its own laws, customs, and political climate.

Does the political climate affect interstate migration? Of course it does. But how exactly? And how to express the dependence and direction of intra-American migration of the population not in words but in the language of numbers? A convenient measure of internal migration is U-Haul index.

U-Haul - This is a truck rental company whose services are used by many Americans moving to a new place of residence. You need to drive the truck yourself, and you only have to pay in one direction (that is, after unloading at the destination, you do not need to return the truck to the starting point - the company will take care of this). But this means that prices for transportation from point A to point B will be the same as prices for transportation from point B to point A, only if the average number of orders will be the same in point A and point B.

If the number of orders for the rental of trucks in paragraph A and in paragraph B is the same, then the company U-Haul no problem - its drivers simply drive the same number of empty trucks between points A and B.

If the number of orders is not the same, then the company U-Haul for hauling back empty trucks must hire an additional number of drivers, and then pay for the transportation of these drivers back. It is clear that in this case the prices for transportation will be asymmetrical - the rental of trucks to popular point A from unpopular point B will cost more than from point B to point A.

I will give a few examples (all data is taken from U-Haul website; March 1 2018 prices for the popular 20-foot van).

Renting a truck from New York to Orlando costs $ 2214, and back $ 1557 (the difference is $ 657, that is, the premium in 42%).

Renting a truck from New York to Dallas costs $ 2442, and back $ 1962 (the difference is $ 480, that is, the premium in 24%).

Renting a truck from San Francisco to Orlando costs $ 3308, and back $ 1798 (the difference is $ 1510, that is, the premium in 84%).

Renting a truck from San Francisco to Dallas costs $ 3206, and back $ 1128 (the difference is $ 2078, that is, the markup in 184%).

For comparison, a truck from New York to San Francisco costs $ 3409, and back $ 3058 (the difference is $ 351, that is, the total surcharge of 11%).

Фото: Depositphotos

What makes people leave San Francisco and New York? What makes people move to Dallas and Orlando?

San Francisco is located in the state of California, and New York - in the state of New York. For decades, both states have been bastions of left-wing politicians — former democrats, and now socialists and communists.

Dallas is located in Texas and Orlando is in Florida. For decades, both states have been bastions of right-wing politicians - Republicans and conservatives.

Therefore, the question must be rephrased as follows - what makes people leave those states where the government pursues a left-wing socialist policy and move to the states where the government pursues a pragmatic right-wing policy?

At the same time, as the example of moving from one corner of the American socialist paradise, San Francisco, to another, New York, shows, it is easy to see that a slight price asymmetry is also present here. But, most likely, this asymmetry is due to the fact that the climate in San Francisco is much more pleasant than in New York.

Regardless of the political views of those Americans who leave the “democratic” states for the “republican” states, the losers will be the “democratic” states. After all, the majority of American internally displaced people simply follow the path of many talented people who left the socialist paradise called the Soviet Union.

Democrats are losing their electorate, and therefore are forced to pursue a policy of "open borders". They see their last hope in the legalization of illegal immigrants.

But injections of socialist transformations into a capitalist economy lead to serious imbalances, which Democrats prefer to compensate at the expense of migrants.

At the same time, the socialists are pursuing a single goal — to legalize the participation of illegal immigrants in elections. The mayor of New York Communist De Blasio openly supports the idea that 500 thousands of illegal immigrants living in New York, have the right to vote in local elections. And California Governor Menshevik Brown is already put it into practice - Starting from 1 on April 2018, all residents of California, including illegal immigrants, will be automatically entered to the voting lists when they renew their driving license.

Index U-Haul shows that Americans absolutely dislike it. Americans take part in federal elections every two years, but in the intervals between elections they also vote with their feet. More precisely, trucks.

Igor Gindler, garygindler.wordpress.com

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