What will be the winter in America: popular agencies gave completely different forecasts

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has published a forecast for the coming winter period. This winter is expected to be warm and dry again due to La Niña. Writes about it USA Today.

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Overall, warmer than average temperatures are expected across much of the southern US as well as the East Coast, according to NOAA. And in the south portend a drought.

This scenario goes completely against forecast from Farmers' Almanac. He predicts a snowy winter across the country. According to Farmers' Almanac, winter storms are expected from the western Gulf of Mexico to the northeast, through Virginia and affecting New England. States in the south, according to this forecast, should not expect a mild winter either. Low temperatures, sleet and storms are what Farmers' Almanac says residents of the south should expect.

La Niña, the natural cooling of seawater in the tropical Pacific, has been observed for the third year in a row, according to NOAA forecasters. The climatic pattern influences the position of the current and, consequently, the weather throughout North America.

NOAA said that this year's La Niña, which began in September 2020, is likely to continue through the coming winter.

On the subject: Ice and snow: Farmer's Almanac predicts a very harsh winter in the US

This phenomenon is the opposite of El Niño, which occurs when the water in the Pacific Ocean is warmer than average.

Drought in the south

Along with warmth, dry conditions will come in the south, which is not good news for the inhabitants of the region.

“Drought conditions are currently present in about 59% of the country, but the western and southern parts of the US will continue to be hardest hit this winter,” said John Gottschalk of NOAA. “Since La Niña is still in place, the drought could spread to the Gulf Coast as well.”

The drought is raising concerns about wildfires this winter, forecasters say. It led to the fact that the water level in the Mississippi River reached an all-time low in some areas from Missouri to Louisiana.

Will it rain and snow anywhere this winter

Precipitation should be heavy in some areas of the northern part of the country: in the NOAA winter forecast for 2022-2023, which covers the period from December 2022 to February 2023, a lot of snow and rain than average. This applies to the Northwest, the Northern Rocky Mountains, the Great Lakes and the Ohio Valley.

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Below-normal temperatures are also possible from the Pacific Northwest east to the western Great Lakes, according to NOAA.

How much snow will

According to NOAA, it's still too early to tell.

The agency's seasonal forecasts provide the likelihood that temperatures and total precipitation will be above, near, or below average, and they predict how drought conditions will change in the coming months.

"The forecast does not include seasonal snow accumulation, as snowfall generally cannot be predicted more than a week in advance," NOAA said in a statement.

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