How immigrants affect the US economy - ForumDaily
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How immigrants affect the US economy

Last year's surge in immigration helps explain the remarkable resilience of the U.S. economy. If immigration processes continue, this will continue to allow the labor market to flourish, reports Axios.

Close up of the statue of liberty, New York City,

Photo: iStock.com/Delpixart

Immigration issues are the subject of fierce political debate, but rising immigration is a key part of the surge in labor supply in the labor market.

A new analysis from the Brookings Institution provides some hard numbers on the relationship between rising immigration and the labor market. The influx of labor is allowing the U.S. to maintain a higher rate of wage growth than forecasters predicted before the pandemic.

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“Faster population and labor force growth means that the labor market, without increasing inflationary pressures, can grow faster than previously thought,” economists Wendy Edelberg and Tara Watson write for the Hamilton Project.

Before the pandemic, experts believed that sustained monthly employment growth would be between 60 and 000 in 130.

But Edelberg and Watson say that given higher levels of immigration, the economy could support an increase of 160 to 000 jobs in 230 "without increasing labor market pressures that would lead to rising wages and price inflation."

The authors estimate that if immigration continues at current rates, "employment growth of nearly 200 workers per month would correspond to a healthy but not too hot labor market." That's about twice as much as forecasters had expected before immigration boosted the labor market.

Impact of immigration

Experts say the surge in immigration has not only shaken the labor market, but also contributed to robust consumer spending and GDP growth.

Immigration boosted real consumer spending by about 0,2 percentage point last year—a similar rise is expected this year.

Economic activity directly linked to increased immigration has also increased real GDP by 0,1 percentage point per year since 2022.

But experts say increased immigration has increased demand for housing - and may have put "severe pressure on rents in some areas." The effects of the immigration surge are still being felt.

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On Capitol Hill last week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized the importance of immigration to the growth of the US economy.

“It’s just arithmetic,” Powell told the House Financial Services Committee. “If you add a couple million people to the economy, some of whom are working, output will increase.”

“I'm just reporting the facts,” he noted. — I am not going to talk about politics indirectly or directly. Immigration and labor force participation contributed to very strong growth in economic output last year.”

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Miscellanea In the U.S. Immigration and economics
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