2025 Hurricane Season: List of Names and Forecast Changes
The tropical season begins in three months. The National Hurricane Center has announced new features and names atmospheric vortices 2025, the publication writes Weather.
Photo: Tatsiana Kuryanovich | Dreamstime.com
Early warning of potential tropical activity
Beginning this year, warnings can be issued 72 hours before hurricane-force or gale-force winds or storm surges make landfall, regardless of whether a tropical storm, hurricane or storm surge warning has been issued.
Previously, such warnings were issued no more than 48 hours before dangerous winds or water threats could appear on land.
This type of warning will still fall under the Potential Tropical Cyclone category.
Adjusting the size of the cone of uncertainty
After record-breaking track predictions last year, the cone of uncertainty will be significantly adjusted. (The cone of uncertainty, or forecast cone, is a graphical representation of the probable path of a hurricane, used by meteorologists to predict its path. It shows the area where the center of a hurricane is most likely to be in the future. – Note.)
It is updated annually because it is formed from a series of rings corresponding to the average forecast error over the past five hurricane seasons.
Most of these rings will shrink by 2-6% this year, with improvements even greater in the eastern Pacific.
To illustrate these changes, the radius of the ring that marks the possible location of the center of a hurricane or tropical storm in five days will decrease from 350 to 340 kilometers.
Since the forecast was first extended to five days in 2003, the cone of uncertainty has shrunk by more than 140 kilometers. That year, the radius of the ring representing the five-day forecast was 160 kilometers.
Recall that impacts such as storm surge, rip currents, winds, inland flooding and tornadoes (SWIFT) often fall outside the cone of uncertainty.
While the cone is shrinking as forecasts improve, the hurricanes themselves are not getting smaller, and each year the impacts will extend further beyond its boundaries.
The cone of uncertainty is intended to track the center of the storm only.
New names for the upcoming season
In 2019, Dorian hit the Bahamas as a Category XNUMX hurricane, becoming the costliest storm in the country's history and claiming dozens of lives. As a result, its name has been removed from the list of future hurricanes.
Six years later, the name Dexter was added to the list in its place, a rare occurrence for a new name to be added to the global tropical cyclone lists.
Hurricane names are repeated every six years. This list was previously used in 2019, 2013, and 2007.
Many of the names have been around for decades. Oklahomans, for example, may remember 2007's Hurricane Erin, which strengthened to form the eye of an atmospheric vortex directly over the state. And Houstonians will remember 2019's Imelda, which unexpectedly turned into a tropical storm and caused severe flooding.
List of names for the 2025 hurricane season
1. Andrea
2. Barry
3. Chantal
4. Dexter
5. Erin
6. Fernand
7. Gabriel
8. Umberto
9. Imelda
10. Jerry
11. Karen
12. Lorenzo
13. Melissa
14. Nestor
15. Olga
16. Pablo
17. Rebeca
18. Sebastien
19. Tanya
20. Van
21. Wendy
Other changes
- New rip current maps. The National Hurricane Center will begin issuing rip current forecasts for the current and next day if at least one tropical storm or hurricane is active in the Atlantic basin or off the southern California coast. Rip currents have become the second-deadliest threat in the past decade, accounting for about one in six hurricane-related deaths in the United States. (Rip currents are narrow but powerful currents of water that move away from the shore and out to sea. They occur when water that has accumulated near the shore breaks through the surf zone and into the ocean, creating a powerful current that can sweep people out to sea. – Note.)
- Storm Surge Forecasts for HawaiiFor the first time, storm surge forecasts will be issued for the main islands of Hawaii (Kauai, Maui, Oahu and the Big Island) 72 hours before a hurricane is expected to hit.
- Updated warnings on the Cone of Uncertainty charts. The National Hurricane Center will continue to highlight threats outside the cone and add wind warnings to the charts, a practice that weather.com has used for several years.
- Improving computer modeling. Every year, forecasting technology and models improve, and this year will be no exception. NOAA will continue to upgrade the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) after significant progress in 2024. Last year, the model successfully predicted the rapid intensification of Hurricanes Helene and Milton, allowing communities to prepare for stronger storms in advance. In the near future, the model will be able to track multiple hurricanes simultaneously with increased accuracy.
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