The future after coronavirus: how scientists, writers and journalists see it - ForumDaily
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The future after coronavirus: how scientists, writers and journalists see it

Once the coronavirus recedes, the doctors and officials exhale, and it will be possible again to plunge into the noisy stream of social life. But we have to admit that after the COVID-19 pandemic, the world will cease to be the way we know it. Writes about it Burning hut.

Photo: Shutterstock

Digital Totalitarianism

Andrew Keene, an American writer and supporter of the digital revolution, and Andreas Krieg, associate professor at the School of Security Studies at King's College London, believe that we have a progressive, but rather gloomy future.

In their view, the physical world will go after the pandemic into the background, and the digital one will face a real renaissance. This will be possible thanks to the help of technology and the Internet, which came to us during the period of universal isolation. After all, it is they who help to exchange data, maintain communication, and also maintain a distance and at the same time not go crazy in four walls. Andrew Keane believes that after the pandemic, technology will spread even more. And global IT companies - Google, Apple, Facebook - will increase their already widespread influence.

At the same time, Keen also speaks about the dangers that technology development will lead to. A useful tool to combat the virus, such as tracking the user's movements through a smartphone, can become a dangerous weapon in the hands of the authorities. Andreas Krieg agrees with him in this. According to the scientist, coronavirus will accelerate the fourth industrial revolution and digitalization, in particular, of public services.

Large volumes of personal data of users will fall into the hands of the state. As a result, governments will expand control over citizens, effectively forcing them to give up many freedoms in exchange for security promises.

In addition, Andreas Krieg believes that a pandemic will not unite, but rather, divide countries. After the victory over the virus, the general tendency towards nationalism and self-isolation will continue. Due to the impact of the health pandemic, countries with fragile political systems will be drawn into anarchy and chaos. Hundreds of thousands of people will take to the streets to overthrow the government, which, in their opinion, could not cope with the crisis.

Control over your laughter

Yuval Noah Harari, author of Sapiens. A Brief History of Humanity, ”and a professor at the History Department of the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, in an article for the Financial Times predicted other dangers that would arise from the uncontrolled collection of personal data during the pandemic.

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Many decisions that take years of discussion in normal times are made in a matter of hours during an emergency, Harari writes. As a result, immature and even dangerous technologies are launched, because the risk of inaction is higher.

As an example, Harari cites an upgraded tracking technology. He believes that its thoughtless use is fraught with more dangers than the standard surveillance of the government by citizens of the country.

Several governments have introduced new surveillance tools to combat the coronavirus pandemic. From the end of March, cameras began to use face recognition technology in Moscow. And the Chinese authorities also require a constant report on the state of health and body temperature, which allows you to identify carriers of the virus, as well as track their movements and everyone with whom they contacted.

“This will give legitimacy to the new terrifying surveillance system. If you know that I clicked on the Fox News link and not CNN, this will tell about my political views, and possibly about my personality. But if you can watch my body temperature, blood pressure and heart rate when I watch a video clip, you will find out what makes me laugh, cry and even get angry, ”writes Harari.

The scientist believes that if corporations and governments begin to collect biometric data en masse, they will learn more about us than ourselves. With the help of such technologies, they will learn not only to predict our reactions, but also to manipulate them.

Even when the number of coronavirus infections drops to zero, some governments that support the collection of biometric data will begin to argue that they need to maintain this surveillance base. They will justify this by the fact that they are afraid of a new wave of the virus, or that a new strain of Ebola fever is developing, or they will come up with some other reason. Temporary measures have an unpleasant habit of surviving emergencies, the scientist concluded.

Transformation of schools and universities

Getting Smart Educational Channel CEO Tom Vander Ark saw the future after the pandemic in a more positive light. In an article for Forbes, he wrote about what changes the education system can expect when schoolchildren and students from many countries are forced to switch to a distance education system due to the spread of coronavirus.

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In any case, the education sector is waiting for a hard reset, Ark said. Starting from the fact that in 2021 a sharp increase in the birth rate is expected. This means that by 2040 the number of people who will need to be trained will greatly increase. But even more deeply rooted education will be affected by distance learning. Now this is a necessary measure, but after a pandemic, it can become the new standard of education.

Distance learning involves the creation of new tools with which they will monitor the assimilation of the material. With high probability they will remain for many years, writes Ark.

The training will become more personalized, and the pupils will have to more diligently demonstrate the acquired knowledge. The same goes for teachers. A new form of education will create more flexible vocational training for teachers.

After a pandemic, a set of significant performance indicators will change. The first place will be taken into account the success skills: self-awareness, social position, ability to cooperate, psychological stability. This trend was observed before the outbreak of the virus. New realities will only increase the importance of these indicators.

There will be more home and hybrid learning. Private micro-schools will begin to appear. At the same time, the number of expensive colleges will be reduced. Ark admits the possibility that many private institutions will not open after a pandemic, as students and parents will switch to less expensive hybrid alternatives.

Millennial Fury

National Review journalist Madeleine Cairns believes that the effects of the pandemic will be felt first and foremost by young people born between 1979 and 2000.

The sociologist Karl Mannheim, in his article “The Problem of Generations”, written back in 1928, noted that generations define not so much biological categories as world events. And this pandemic can finally shape the worldview of those whom we call millenials, Kearns writes.

The coronavirus pandemic caused strong economic unrest all over the world: workers are being cut off or forcibly sent on unpaid leave, private business is ruining, the economy of many states is in decline.

This may provoke a surge in revolutionary sentiment, as since the 2000s there has been an increase in millennial interest in socialism. All due to the fact that people of this generation are faced with strong political and economic global shocks.

As children, they witnessed the events of September 11 and local wars, for example, in Iran. Then came the financial crisis of 2008. Millennials have become a generation that prefers not to buy apartments, but to rent, change jobs, and not build a career in one place. There is even a slight loss of interest in sex and marriage.

They were promised a better world, Cairns writes, but instead they received economic and political instability, which was supplemented by the threat of global warming. Millennials are offended by the older generation for the wastefulness and shortsightedness of their social order. A coronavirus pandemic will only exacerbate this resentment.

Return to the villages

Writer and journalist Jack Schenker wrote an article in The Guardian, where he shared his vision of the device cities after the coronavirus pandemic.

According to him, the main problem that architects and urbanists will face is finding a balance between a high population density (which is more environmentally friendly) and creating more free space to reduce the likelihood of transmission of infection.

“In general, increasing population density is good: such cities are more energy efficient. But I think that in the long run there will be a conflict between public health requirements and climate conservation, ”Schenker quotes Richard Sennett, professor of urban studies at MIT and senior UN adviser on climate change and cities.

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After the pandemic, they will begin to pay more attention to finding design solutions that will allow them to design buildings and neighborhoods so that people can communicate and live without being squeezed in a cramped space.

The outflow of residents from large cities will increase, according to Schenker. During a pandemic, many switch to a remote mode of operation, and over time, more and more companies will constantly work in this format. This means that proximity to the office will no longer be the determining factor for choosing a home. This will reduce the attractiveness of the suburbs and revive rural settlements, where residents can provide themselves with a more comfortable and high standard of living.

The journalist observes an increase in the level of community in cities, despite decades of growing fragmentation. Citizens began to unite before the threat of the virus. They open mutual assistance groups, communicate more with neighbors of different age groups.

“Ironically, social distancing has brought some of us closer than ever before. Whether such groups will survive after the coronavirus depends in part on what lessons we will learn from the crisis, ”added Schenker.

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