Bloomberg predicted the most dangerous events of the year 2017

Фото: Depositphotos

Edition Bloomberg annually makes a rating of the main threats that await the world next year.

These predictions quite often come true, although some of the assumptions of the publication still turns out to be incorrect.

What happened in 2016 year

Brexit

According to analysts polled by the publication, the government after the Brexit referendum was to be headed by Boris Johnson - in this part the forecast did not come true, but otherwise everything happened exactly as the publication suggested: the threat of Scotland about leaving the UK, the collapse of the British markets and currency.

Global warming

2016 year is called the warmest in the entire history of observations. Bloomberg predicted more dramatic effects of global warming, including a state of emergency in California and the decline of South Africa due to water scarcity, but overall the prediction is correct.

Donald Trump is elected president of the United States

An eccentric billionaire not only won the election in spite of all polls, but also became “Man of the Year”, according to Time Magazinewho called him "President of the United States of America."

Most of Bloomberg’s predictions for 2016 did not come true or were only partially fulfilled. Israel did not bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities; Russian and Iranian hackers did not attack the largest banks (but hackers from the Russian Federation were accused of interfering in the American elections); in Latin America, although the crisis continues, it did not reach the semi-anarchic situation in Brazil after the impeachment of Dilma Rousseff. Oil is not worth $ 100 per barrel; the militarization of China did not lead to an exacerbation of the situation in Asia; German Chancellor Angela Merkel did not resign because of nationalist protests; Russian President Vladimir Putin was unable to resolve the situation in Syria and thereby force Europe to lift the sanctions.

What to fear in 2017 year

Elections in Europe

After Brexit, populists have a good chance of winning elections in many European countries, including Greece, Poland, Germany and France (where the leader of the far right Marin Le Pen can come to power). Not excluded early elections in the UK. Possible political changes in Europe Bloomberg calls the main threat to world stability in 2017.

Protests in the USA

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After Trump takes office as president of the United States, mass protests will begin against his policies. To restore order, the president will be forced to impose a curfew in several large cities. The country is actually divided into 2 camps with the center of the opposition in California, among the leaders of which will be businessman Ilon Musk.

The economic war of the United States and China

In response to Trump’s accusations against China, Beijing will devalue the yuan, cancel Boeing’s orders and block iPhone sales in its territory. At the same time, China itself will find itself in the deepest recession. The loss of the American market as a result of a quarrel with Trump will result in a repetition of the Asian financial crisis 1997 of the year.

World without US protection

Lack of diplomatic experience and understanding of the international agenda of the elected US President Donald Trump can lead to serious changes in the world. For example, under his leadership, the United States may cease to be a serious deterrent force and lose the role of "world gendarme", giving way to Russia and China. Under these conditions, the terrorists from the Islamic State will strengthen their positions, Japan and Saudi Arabia will take up nuclear programs, and the DPRK will prove that it has a nuclear bomb capable of hitting America.

Cyber ​​war

Фото: Depositphotos

In the US, a whole series of hacker attacks on key infrastructure, including power plants, will take place, among the hacker's targets will be internet-connected medical devices and self-driving cars. Behind the attacks will be a large state - Russia or China.

Caribbean Crisis-2

As president of the United States, Donald Trump will cancel Barack Obama’s course of rapprochement with Cuba. The island nation will resume close relations with China and Russia and will allow Moscow to open an intelligence base in Havana. Because of this, the relationship between the US and Russia will deteriorate so much that they remind the world of the Caribbean crisis of the 1962 year.

Mexico Fall

Trump will fulfill a promise to break off diplomatic relations with Mexico and will begin to deport illegal migrants from this country. The Mexican economy will collapse, populists opposed to the US will seize power, and the drug business will flourish in the country.

Iran and Saudi Arabia War

Attempts by Saudi Arabia to diversify the economy will come to nothing, a palace coup will occur in the kingdom. The balance of power in the Middle East will shift towards the long-time enemy of Saudi Arabia, Iran. Without a deterrent force in the form of the United States, a war will begin between Iran and Saudi Arabia, the largest oil producers, which will lead to another crisis in the oil market.

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