Battle for America: What you need to know about the US presidential election - ForumDaily
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Battle for America: What you need to know about the US presidential election

Фото: Depositphotos

On November 8, the event of the year in world politics will take place - the presidential elections in the United States, the winner of which will determine the foreign policy of the state with the strongest army and the largest economy on the planet.

Edition The league explained everything about the procedure, the agenda and the programs of the candidates.

What issues worry Americans in this election?

1. Economy remains priority #1. The reason is growing wealth inequality and falling incomes of Americans over the past 15 years. Taking into account inflation, the annual income of the average family decreased from 57,8 thousand dollars in 1999 to 53,7 thousand in 2014. Younger generations are much less likely to build a career, buy a home, or earn the same pension as their parents. Among African Americans, the youth unemployment rate exceeds 50%.

Americans are also worried about the growth of the US national debt, which reached $ 2016 trillion in March 19,35, while in the year 2001, the US national debt was $ 5,8 trillion.

2. Immigration. The number of undocumented migrants in the US labor market increased from 3,6 million in 1995 to 8,1 million in 2012. The largest group among illegal migrants are Mexicans - their number increased from 2,9 million to 5,9 million. In total, there are 11,2 million illegal migrants in the United States.

The migration rush is causing resentment on the part of white Americans with low incomes and those Hispanic who have already received citizenship. Both groups fear increased competition in the labor market.

3. Terrorism inside the country. This question has been relevant for a decade and a half. Another exacerbation of political discussions on this topic took place after the assassination of the Islamic State 14 by disabled people in the Californian town of San Bernardino in December 2015 and 50 in a LGBT nightclub in Orlando on June 12 in June.

4. Health care. The United States ranks first in the world in health care costs and has a powerful research system in the field of medicine and pharmaceuticals. At the same time, the United States occupy one of the last places among developed countries in terms of the coverage of the population with medical assistance and the general level of public health. In terms of child mortality rates in the United States, in the 2010-2015 years, they are at the 38 location in the world.

5. Education. The USA is home to the best universities on the planet and employs the most successful scientists who have received dozens of Nobel Prizes. At the same time, students are often saddled with enormous debt after graduating from college or university—student loans in the United States grew from $100 billion in 2008 to $850 billion in 2014, with 43% of loans provided by the government. The average student debt after a 4-year college degree was $2012 in 24. The situation with debt repayment is also worsened by difficulties in finding a job.

6. Ecology. Democrats are struggling to reduce emissions and develop renewable energy. Most Republicans, whose sponsors are oil and gas companies, are in favor of maintaining the pace of extraction of fossil fuels and often do not even think that global warming is caused by human activity.

7. The right to own a firearm, enshrined in the Second Amendment to the Constitution, is another reason for contention - most Democrats are in favor of restricting this right, most Republicans are against it. According to the Mass Shooting Tracker, in 2015 alone, there were 372 mass shootings (incidents with more than four casualties) in the United States, killing 475 people and injuring 1870. 64 mass shootings in 2015 occurred in schools.

8. Police reform. In 2015, US police, according to the Washington Post, shot and killed about a thousand people during arrest, a quarter of whom were African Americans, with their total share of the country's population being 12%. In some cases, police actions were criticized at the highest levels. The killings of African Americans during arrest have escalated into local riots several times, the largest of which was in Ferguson in 2014.

9. Foreign policy. Isolationism is growing in popularity in the United States, as evidenced by the ratings of supporters of reducing the US presence in the world—presidential candidates Donald Trump and Harry Johnson. Many Republicans and Democrats believe that the United States has spent enormous amounts of money on wars in the Middle East (the Iraq war alone cost the United States $1,6 trillion, and another $490 billion was spent on payments to veterans). The security situation only worsened as a result. Many Americans want solutions to the problems that have accumulated at home, not new costs to support weak democracies abroad.

How it works: US electoral system

With all the seeming complexity in the US electoral system, it’s easy to understand. Everything you need to know about procedural points, read. here.

Democrats

The primaries in the Democratic Party in the framework of the current election race were held from February 1 to June 14. The struggle was between former US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Senator Bernie Sanders.

In total, 16,2 million Democratic supporters (55,6% of participants) voted for Hillary Clinton during the primaries, and 12,4 million (42,7%) voted for Bernie Sanders. The former Secretary of State won 33 states and territories, Senator Sanders won 23 states.

As a result of the primaries, Clinton received the votes of 2746 delegates to the Democratic Party Convention, of which 547 were the votes of superdelegates - ex-presidents, congressmen, governors and other prominent figures of the Democratic Party. Superdelegates were not elected through primaries, but expressed their support for one of the candidates. Bernie Sanders only managed to secure the support of 48 superdelegates. On July 12, Sanders officially endorsed Hillary Clinton at a Democratic convention in New Hampshire.

Clinton program

Education. Lower interest rates on student loans. The $350 billion New College Compact would allow students to attend public colleges for free for four years.

Social politics. Setting the federal minimum wage at $ 12 / hour (now it is $ 7,25). Introduction of 3-month paid family leave (for child care, care for a sick family member).

Employment. Allocation of $ 125 billion for a job creation program for young people, former prisoners, support for start-up entrepreneurs.

Finance. Strengthened regulation of stock markets by imposing a tax on high-frequency securities trading.

Immigration. Opening the way to citizenship and employment in the legal economy for millions of migrants. Contribute to the reunification of their families and naturalization, language learning.

Energy and ecology. Abolition of tax incentives for oil and gas companies. Investing in solar and wind energy, reducing oil consumption by a third. He promises to make the United States a superpower of clean energy and install a billion solar panels by the end of the first presidential term.

Crime. The adoption of national rules for the use of weapons by the police. The closure of private prisons. Reducing penalties for non-violent offenses related to drug trafficking.

Carrying a weapon. Combating the illegal sale of weapons, strengthening the verification of customer data.

Healthcare. Support and development of medical reform of Barack Obama. Implementing legal requirements for pharmaceutical companies to adhere to a certain level of research spending. Setting a limit on prices for prescription drugs.

Veterans. The best care for veterans and families of military personnel.

Views on foreign policy

Russia. Help the European allies reduce their dependence on Russian oil, prevent Russian aggressions, and increase their prices for Putin. Strengthening NATO. Tighter measures in response to the aggression against Ukraine and the bombing of Russian aviation in Syria.

“Islamic State”. Destruction of a terrorist group without the US troops conducting a ground operation in Syria and Iraq, supporting detachments of Kurds, training the Iraqi army and Syrian rebels with the participation of American special forces. Creation of a no-fly zone in Syria where refugees could be. Support the army and state institutions, restoring the stability of Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya.

The strategy against the IS involves the destruction of terrorist infrastructure, which provides the flow of militants, funding, weapons and propaganda for jihadists around the world, supporting allies in the fight against external and internal threats. For this, the candidate intends to interact with high-tech companies.

China. Establishment of strict rules of international relations in the Pacific. Countering China’s aggressive actions, in particular with regard to disputed islands in the South China Sea. Encouraging China to make a responsible US partnership in the areas of cyber security, trade, climate change, discussing the issue of human rights in this country.

Iran. Blocking Iran's attempts to obtain nuclear weapons, it is ready to "not hesitate to take military action" to stop this process. Supports the nuclear deal with Iran - control over the nuclear program in exchange for the West waiving sanctions.

Israel. Israel’s security challenge will be seen as a security challenge to the United States. Supply of F-35 fighters and missile defense systems to preserve Israel’s military advantage over Iran.

North Korea. The introduction of additional sanctions against the regime of Kim Jong-un, an increase in the US military presence in the APR, strengthening the missile defense systems of the Asian allies of the USA.

Cuba. Believes Republicans view Cuba through the outdated lens of the Cold War, which is a mistake. It stands for the lifting of the embargo from Cuba, which will relieve the United States from responsibility for any economic difficulties of the country, which will henceforth be the fault of Raul Castro exclusively. Supports the development of Cuban business, civil society, and Cuban-American relations with the island.

Terrorism. Recruiting more intelligence personnel and linguists, as well as increasing electronic surveillance and aerial reconnaissance, increasing cooperation at the global level to combat terrorism - for this, in 2011, she promoted the creation of the Global Anti-Terrorism Forum with the participation of 30 countries. He advocates the closure of the prison at Guantanamo Bay, where terrorism suspects are kept, since in the eyes of the world community it represents a disregard for the rule of law.

World trade. Supports global trade liberalization, but has distanced itself from the Trans-Pacific Partnership, a trade agreement between 12 Asia-Pacific countries, including Japan, Canada and Mexico, signed in February 2016. It is feared that this agreement will lead to job losses in the United States. Promises a review of the “shortcomings” of NAFTA, a free trade area for the United States, Canada and Mexico.

Other global issues. The global fight against climate change, cyber threats, epidemics, support for civil society and the rights of sexual minorities in other countries.

Foreign Policy Advisors

Hillary's foreign policy team is headed by Jake Sullivan and Laura Rosenberger, who worked at the State Department when Clinton led it. Sullivan, a professor at Yale Law School, is being considered for the position of national security adviser to the president if Clinton wins. Previously, he was an assistant to President Obama and an adviser to Vice President Joe Biden, and took an active part in preparing the nuclear deal with Iran. Laura Rosenberger is an expert on the DPRK nuclear program.

The Clinton team includes the ex-head of the Pentagon and the CIA Leon Panetta, former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright, co-founder of the New American Security Center Michel Flurna, who was engaged in Ukraine and Russia in the Pentagon during the administration of Bill Clinton.

The working group on European and Russian policies on the Clinton team is led by Michael McFaul and Philip Gordon. McFaul was behind the failed reset of relations between the Russian Federation and the United States in 2009-2012 and was ambassador to Russia until February of 2014. After the Russian aggression against Ukraine, he called for the isolation of the Putin regime. Philip Gordon was Assistant Secretary of State Clinton for Europe and Eurasia, engaged in resolving the contradictions between the United States and Turkey.

Tim Kane, Democratic Party Vice Presidential Candidate

Hillary Clinton’s partner in this election is the former governor of the state of Virginia, and now the senator from this state, 58, Timothy Kane. The candidate for vice-presidency was born in the family of a welder, graduated from Harvard Law School and, brought up by a Catholic believer, worked for a year as a member of the Jesuit humanitarian mission in Honduras. For many years he worked in law firms, including providing free legal services for the needy. Came to politics in the middle of 1990's.

As governor of Virginia in 2006-2010, Kane was marked by sarcastic criticism of President George W. Bush because of the war in Iraq, education policies and veterans. He approved a law prohibiting smoking in state institutions, bars and restaurants, achieved an increase in the salaries of nurses and the financing of kindergartens.

Kane is considered a centrist and ideologically close to US Vice President Joe Biden. Kane's candidacy for the post of vice president was considered back in 2008, but then Biden was given preference. Partner Clinton is opposed to sending troops to Syria for a ground operation, concluding the Trans-Pacific Agreement, and supports restricting the right to acquire weapons.

Support Group

Politicians. US President Barack Obama, Bill Clinton (1993-2001), Jimmy Carter (1977-1981), the former and current Secretaries of State Madeleine Albright (1997-2001) and John Kerry, the mayor of New York in 2002-2013 years, the media tycoon Michael Bloomberg.

Foreign leaders. French President Francois Hollande, Italian Prime Ministers Matteo Renzi and Scotland Nicola Sturgeon, German Foreign Minister Frank-Walter Steinmeier, former British and Swedish Prime Ministers Tony Blair and Carl Bildt.

Business. Hillary's support is the IT sector, Hollywood and financiers - Adobe Systems co-founder Charles Geschke, Xerox CEOs Ursula Burns, Twitter Omid Kordestani, YouTube Susan Wojcicki, Facebook COO Sheryl Sandberg, Dream Works Animation co-founders Jeffrey Katzenberg and Steven Spielberg, Miramax co-founders and MTV's Harvey Weinstein and John Sykes, financiers George Soros and Warren Buffett. Oil and gas and pharmaceutical companies are opposed to Clinton's election as president.

Celebrities. On Hillary's side are actors George Clooney, Matt Damon, Robert De Niro, Morgan Freeman, Dustin Hofman, Jack Nicholson, Tom Hanks, Salma Hayek, Charlize Theron, Mila Kunis, Beyoncé, Katy Perry, Lady Gaga.

Trade unions and public organizations. The National Education Association (3 million members), the American Federation of Teachers (1,6 million members), the United Food and Commercial Workers (1,7 million members), LGBT organizations, feminists, opponents of the abortion ban, the organization for limiting possession of the arms of the Brady Campaign.

Sponsors

More than $ 1 million were allocated to committees of political activism supporting Hillary Clinton, financier George Soros, media magnate Haim Saban, directors Steven Spielberg, Jeffrey Abrams, Jeffrey Katzenberg, founder of the film company Legendary Pictures Thomas Tull, co-founder of the software company Innovative Interfaces Steven Zylen Zyln Zilje Zilner, a founder of Legendary Pictures, a co-founder of Legendary Pictures Paloma Partners Donald Sussman, financier Herbert Sandler, philanthropist Barbara Lee, founder of the Barbara Lee Family Foundation. Wal-Mart co-owner Alice Walton allocated $ 353 thousand to Clinton’s campaign.

Fun fact: Clinton received donations from her current rival Donald Trump and his son in 2002, 2005-2007, and the construction magnate also donated $100 to the Clinton Foundation. In 2005, Hillary and Bill even attended Trump's wedding to his current wife Melania. In the photo, which can easily be found on the Internet, Donald and Hillary are standing next to each other - both in a great mood.

Core clinton supporters

At the end of March, the sociological firm Public Opinion Strategies, after analyzing the primaries of the democratic party in the 20 states, presented a portrait of the voter Hillary Clinton. Among Democrats, she scored 60-77% of votes among African Americans, Hispanics, women, Americans older than 45 years, Democrats with moderate and conservative views. At the same time, Clinton lost to Senator Sanders the youth of 17-29 years (29% against 70%) during the primaries.

Republicans

This year's GOP primaries were among the dirtiest in history. Their result was the defeat of the Republican establishment, which not only failed to stop the odious billionaire Donald Trump, but even to nominate a promising candidate - candidates such as Senator Marco Rubio and the brother of the 43rd US President Jeb Bush failed miserably.

During the primaries, billionaire Donald Trump received 13,8 million votes (44,7%) and won in 40 states and US territories. His main competitor, Texas Senator Ted Cruz, received 7,8 million votes (25,2%) and won 11 states. The remaining votes were shared by Florida Senator Marco Rubio (3,5 million votes) and Ohio Governor John Kasich (4,2 million) who are closer to the Republican Party elite. The voting results showed that if Trump had one strong opponent, the outcome of the Republican primaries could have been different. However, the billionaire’s rivals did not give up their ambitions, as a result of which the party is represented in the elections by the nominee of an aggressive minority.

The Republican Party Convention 18-21 July nominated Trump as a presidential candidate, although this was accompanied by the demonstrative withdrawal of some of his opponents from the meeting and the refusal of Ted Cruz, a representative of the religious-conservative wing closely associated with the oil and gas business, to publicly support the winner. However, the Republican split that emerged during the primaries did not officially take shape.

Program

Economy. Reducing the corporate tax rate to 15%. Elimination of taxes for individuals earning up to $25 thousand per year, as well as for families earning up to $50 thousand. The maximum income tax for individuals earning over $150 thousand will be 25%. Downsizing the federal government.

Trade. Introduction of 35% import duty. Eliminate the favored trade regime for China.

Immigration. Construction of a 2000-mile wall on the border with Mexico at the expense of the Mexican authorities - otherwise proposes to prohibit migrants from remitting remittances to their homeland. Mass deportation of illegal migrants (their number is at least 11 million people). Elimination of the J-1 visa, under which foreign students work and study in the United States, including under the Work and Travel program.

Ecology. Global warming is a myth, but he is willing to provide tax subsidies for wind farms.

Education. Develop educational programs and control primary and secondary schools locally.

Health care. Cancellation of medical reform by Barack Obama. Increased competition in the health insurance market. Permission to use health savings accounts that can be inherited by family members.

Social issues. Against abortion and same-sex marriage, against restricting the right to acquire firearms. For the death penalty, for the legalization of medical marijuana at the state level.

Views on foreign policy

Russia. Appreciates Putin's leadership and believes that he can have a good relationship with him. Criticizes the European Union, and Germany in particular, for insufficient protection of Ukraine. He notes that the issue of the integrity of Ukraine is a European, not an American problem. First of all, the problem is Germany. He believes that it is necessary to end the period of hostility with Russia, especially in the Middle East.

NATO and other allies. Questions the benefits of NATO - supposedly the alliance pays little attention to the fight against terrorism and is too bureaucratic. According to Trump, the United States spends too much on protecting European countries, so spending within NATO should be redistributed. Otherwise, the United States will not come to the aid of its allies if they are attacked. According to Trump, Korea, Saudi Arabia, and Japan should also pay the United States for assistance in protecting their countries and for the presence of American military bases.

European Union. Trump supported the exit of Britain from the EU and believes that in the 23 June referendum, the British regained the country.

China is the main enemy. In addition to a radical review of trade relations with China, Trump proposes to strengthen the American military presence in the South China and East China Seas to prevent Chinese “adventurism” regarding the disputed islands. Pressure on China, according to Trump, must increase in order to stop the presumptuous regime of the DPRK, which he considers dependent on Beijing.

"Islamic State". He advocates conducting a ground operation against the Islamic State with the participation of the US military and other NATO countries. He named a figure of 20-30 thousand military personnel, whom he was ready to send to a ground operation against the Islamic State. He also promises to stop purchasing oil from Saudi Arabia if it does not send its troops to participate in this operation. He intends to bomb fields, oil pipelines and oil refineries in Iraq so that the terrorists of the Islamic State do not use them. He believes that this can be done without the consent of the Iraqi authorities, since it is a corrupt state that does not deserve respect.

Syria. The Bashar al-Assad regime is an enemy of the United States, but the Syrian opposition looks even worse. Trump supports the Russian military operation in Syria and believes that Russia and Iran should be allowed to fight IS in Syria and even take control of its remnants. He also advocates the creation of no-fly zones in Syria to ensure the safety of refugees - Germany and the Gulf countries should pay for this operation, according to Trump.

Iran. He promises to prevent Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons and considers a nuclear deal with it a mistake, promises to reconsider it. According to Trump, she threatened Israel’s future.

Israel. Ready to mediate in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, promises the Israeli lobby to assist in confronting Iran and move the US Embassy in Israel from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.

DPRK. Ready to speak with dictator Kim Jong-un, who at the same time considers a maniac. I am confident that the pressure on the DPRK should primarily be put on China, since it allegedly has complete control over Pyongyang. If Beijing does not solve the DPRK problem, it considers that it is necessary to worsen the conditions for trade between the United States and China. He also declared his readiness to create conditions for the acquisition by Japan of nuclear weapons.

Cuba. Unlike most Republicans, Trump supported the restoration of diplomatic relations with Cuba.

Terrorism. Supports the recording of telephone calls by the National Security Agency, the torture of suspected terrorists, including through drowning, and the destruction of the homes of relatives of terrorists. He promises not only to keep the prison in Guantanamo for those suspected of terrorism, but also to replenish the list of prisoners impressively. I intend to stop immigration from regions of the world where terrorism is flourishing, and also to prohibit entry to Muslims.

World trade. Trump announced his intention to reconsider or completely abandon NAFTA, a free trade area for the United States, Canada and Mexico. He criticizes the signing of the Trans-Pacific Partnership and believes that this trade agreement is beneficial only to Japan and China. Intends to radically reconsider trade relations with China, depriving it of opportunities for currency manipulation, theft of intellectual property and subsidizing exports. Threatens fines for corporations that move production outside the United States and withdrawal from the World Trade Organization.

Indo-Pakistani conflict. Compares Pakistan with the DPRK, calls it one of the most dangerous countries in the world. It proposes to strengthen cooperation with India.

Global problems. Does not believe that humans have a serious impact on climate change. He promises to renegotiate the Paris climate agreement, fire EPA officials, encourage expansion of oil and gas production and the construction of the Keystone XL oil pipeline from Canada to the United States - in general, doing everything the opposite of the Obama administration.

Trump's Foreign Policy Team

The Trump’s team of foreign policy advisors is a motley team of neoconservatives, opponents of moderate Islamists and the Israeli lobby, as well as supporters of friendship with Russia.

1. Senator from Alabama Jeff Sessions. He acted as one of the ardent supporters of George W. Bush’s foreign policy, including supporting the war in Iraq. In an interview in 2015 about the war in Donbass, he called for the United States and the EU to unite against Russian revanchism.

2. The leading partner of Global Energy Capital is Carter Page. Earlier he worked as investment banker at Merrill Lynch, was responsible for opening a bank office in Moscow and in 2004-2007 was a key adviser on operations with Gazprom and RAO UES. He considers the West and the policy of expanding NATO to be the culprits of the conflict with Russia for Ukraine.

3. Former head of the Pentagon Intelligence Agency, Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn. In 2004-2007 he served in the Joint Command of the US Special Operations in Iraq and Afghanistan, was engaged in the search for Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, the right hand of Bin Laden. It was Michael Flynn in March 2014 of the year who said that military intelligence had provided the US leadership in February 2014 with information about the impending movement of Russian troops in Crimea 7 days before it began. He considers the overthrow of Saddam Hussein and Muammar Gaddafi one of the worst mistakes of the USA, fully supported the military operation of the Kremlin in Syria.

4. Terrorism expert, Lebanese Christian who immigrated to the United States during the Lebanese Civil War, Professor Walid Fares. He is the author of a number of books on jihad, Islam, and the history of the Middle East, adheres to a pro-Israeli position, and condemned the Obama administration for contacts with the Muslim Brotherhood regime in Egypt. The Council on American-Islamic Relations accuses Fares of involvement in war crimes in Lebanon. The presence of this person in power could further damage US relations with Turkey.

5. Vice President, Private Intelligence Consulting Company CACI International, Lt. Gen. Joseph Kellogg. The 2003-2004 was part of the interim government of Iraq. Since 2004, a lawsuit has been launched against CACI employees on charges of torturing prisoners at Abu Ghraib prison.

6. Pentagon Inspector General in 2002-2005, Joseph Schmitz. He was associated with the private military company Blackwater, which participated in the war in Iraq.

Support Group

Politicians. 2001-2009 US Vice President Dick Cheney, former Pentagon chief Donald Rumsfeld, head of the House of Representatives 2011-2015 John Beyner, influential senators Jeff Sessions, Mitch McConnell, former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin, ex-mayor of New York Rudy Giuliani.

PR technologists. In the Trump campaign, lobbyist Paul Manafort, a former consultant to Viktor Yanukovych and an adviser to almost all Republican candidates from 1976, works.

Business. Trump's support is the construction business and the entertainment industry: owner of the Las Vegas Sands entertainment corporation, influential representative of the Jewish lobby Sheldon Adelson, media tycoon Conrad Black, owner of the investment company Colony Capital Thomas Barrack (hotels and resorts), owner of the Icahn Enterprises conglomerate billionaire Carl Icahn, construction family tycoons Kushner, owner of the Forbes media company Steve Forbes, owners of development companies, billionaires Carl Paladino, Robert Kraft, Steve Wynn and others.

Celebrities. Boxer Mike Tyson and basketball player Dennis Rodman, actor Jean-Claude van Damme.

National Rifle Association (NRA). It brings together about 5 million Americans opposed to restricting the right to bear arms, provided for by the 2 th amendment to the Constitution.

Republican Jewish Coalition. The support of a powerful Republican Jewish coalition is important for a Republican candidate, since most Jews vote for Democratic candidates. In 2008, John McCain received 21% of the American Jewish vote, and in 2012, Mitt Romney received 31%.

Russia and pro-Kremlin forces. Russian billionaire Alexander Dugin, Russian propagandist Dmitry Kiselev, founder of the National Front of France Jean-Marie Le Pen, leader of the Serbian nationalists Vojislav Sheshel, leaders of the Dutch and Italian ultra-right Gert Wilders and Matteo Salvini declared their support for the billionaire.

Mike Pence, Vice President Trump

Indiana Governor Michael Pence, 57, agreed to be Trump's running mate in this election campaign shortly before the Republican National Convention. The politician was born into a family of Irish Catholic Democrats, but in his youth he chose a different denomination - Protestantism and political affiliation - GOP.

Before being elected governor of Indiana in 2013, Pence served as a congressman for 12 years. He is a conservative, supports the Tea Party Movement and advocates amending the US Constitution to include a government spending cap. He denies the theory of evolution, the human factor in climate change, and opposes the placement of refugees in the United States. Unlike Trump, Pence is an ardent supporter of helping Israel in the fight against Iran and advocated continuing the military operation in Iraq.

If Trump is elected president of the United States and then dies or is impeached, Pence could be the next president of the United States.

Trump's Electoral Core

These are, first of all, white workers who feel increased competition in the labor market from migrants, small farmers, conservative evangelical Christians, part of the white middle class, most representatives of the conservative libertarian Tea Party Movement, which advocates cutting the federal government, taxes and abolition Obama's health care reform. Trump is more popular with men than with women. His support among African Americans is low. Some Hispanic voters will vote for Trump to curb further migration from Latin American countries and maintain a competitive advantage in the labor market.

Third force

Candidates from libertarians and greens can influence the outcome of US presidential elections.

The high anti-rating of Donald Trump (60%) and Hillary Clinton (52%) has led to the fact that for the first time since the 1992 presidential campaign, a candidate from a third party can influence the outcome of the US elections. We are talking about the candidates of the Libertarian Party - Harry Johnson - and the Greens - Jill Stein. Some Republicans, dissatisfied with Trump's nomination as a presidential candidate, are ready to vote for Johnson. The Green Party in the US has traditionally been more to the left than the Democrats, so Jill Stein could attract votes from Senator Sanders. Ultimately, it is clear that neither Johnson nor Stein will become the next president of the United States. But both can take away exactly the votes that Trump and Clinton, respectively, need to win the election.

The ex-governor of the state of New Mexico, Gary Johnson, was nominated for the Libertarian presidential candidate. Polls show that up to 5-10% of Americans can vote for him. Johnson can take the votes of those Republicans who do not support Trump’s anti-immigration agenda or endorse foreign isolationism.

63-year-old Gary Johnson was born in the family of a petty clerk and teacher of Ukrainian origin. He could be called a self-made man — he studied political science at the university and worked on repair work, and in 1976 he created the construction company Big J Enterprises, which made him a millionaire. At the time of sale in 1999, it was the state’s leading construction company.

In 1995-2003, he served as governor of New Mexico from Republicans. For the first six months in power, 200 once applied the right of veto against the decisions of the state legislature, set the American record in this way, and was nicknamed Governor Veto. His struggle to cut spending, tax, and a balanced budget has won the recognition of libertarians.

In 2012, Johnson participated in the presidential election for the first time and took third place after Obama and Romney with 1% of votes. In the course of the current campaign, a libertarians representative suggests that Americans cut military spending and reform social programs to deal with the public debt problem and balance the country's budget, carry out tax reform to make business in the United States feel like a better tax haven. At the same time, Johnson advocates complete freedom in the matter of same-sex marriage, the use of marijuana, abortion and possession of weapons.

In foreign policy, the libertarian leader proposes to abandon any armed interventions to build democracies abroad, from sending ground troops abroad, and even from financial assistance to allies, including Israel. “Looking back over the past few decades, it is difficult to understand how the wars we have fought, the interventions we have carried out, the lives we have sacrificed and the trillions spent on the other side of the globe have made us safer,” his campaign platform said. It is also not surprising that he opposes any intervention in the conflict between Ukraine and Russia.

Green candidate

65-year-old Jill Stein, a graduate of Harvard Medical School, has been practicing private medical practice for a long time until she joined the Green movement in 1998. Soon she became one of the leaders of green, fighting for the development of renewable energy.

In 2012, for the first time, Stein took part in the presidential elections in the United States, gaining 0,36% of votes. In June 2015, she again put forward her candidacy.

Stein proclaims himself a supporter of the Green New Deal, which prioritizes environmental and employment issues. To finance programs in these areas, she is ready to cut the US military budget by 50%, withdraw US troops from other countries, increase taxes on speculation in stock markets, and large construction projects. The Green candidate also supports the complete abolition of student debt and an affordable healthcare system for all, which could attract some Bernie Sanders sympathizers to her side.

Stein believes that the United States, especially Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland, helped to carry out a "coup d'état in Ukraine." In her opinion, it makes no difference, as if the United States allowed Russia to overthrow the government of Canada. She calls a false policy of NATO on the "encirclement of Russia". Green candidate also demands to stop the US policy of isolating China and blames Israel for the genocide of the Palestinians.

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