Bill Gates warned of epidemics that could kill 30 million people in six months - ForumDaily
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Bill Gates warned of epidemics that could kill 30 million people in six months

Bill Gates believes that a future epidemic could kill 30 millions of people within 6 months - and we must prepare for it like a war.

Photo: facebook.com/pg/BillGates

The next global epidemic will happen sooner or later, Bill Gates said recently at a thematic event. And we are not ready for it. This edition writes BusinessInsider in his article, the translation of which leads The idealist.

According to Gates, a situation like the 1918 pandemic of the year could kill 30 a million people, and the next disease may not even be the flu, but something we have never seen. Gates noted that the world should prepare for it as well as for war.

If there is a thing that we know from history, it is that a deadly new disease will sooner or later arise and spread throughout the world.

This can easily happen over the next decade. And as Bill Gates rightly pointed out at a discussion of the epidemics organized by the Massachusetts Medical Society and the New England Journal of Medicine, we are not ready.

Gates admitted that he is usually an optimist, reminding people that we are fighting poverty around the world and successfully conquer diseases such as polio and malaria.

But "there is one area where success is much more modest," says Gates, "is pandemic preparedness."

Photo: facebook.com/pg/BillGates

The likelihood of such a disease continues to grow. New pathogens appear constantly, with the growth of world population and the invasion of humanity into the wild environment. It is easier and easier for people or small groups to create biological weapons that can spread like wildfires around the world.

According to Gates, a small laboratory is fully capable of creating on its own even a new deadly form of smallpox.

And in our interconnected world, people are actively moving on planes from city to city, from continent to continent in just a few hours.

Gates presented a simulation of the Institute for the Study of Diseases, which found that the new flu, like the one that killed 50 million people in the 1918 pandemic of the year, is now likely to kill 30 million people within six months.

And a disease that will later take us by surprise is likely to be something completely new, like the recent SARS and MERS viruses.

If you told world governments that the weapon that can kill 30 millions of people is being created right now, an urgent preparation for this threat would be the logical solution, Gates said.

“With biological threats, that sense of urgency is missing,” he said. “The world must prepare for a pandemic as seriously as it prepares for war.”

Photo: facebook.com/pg/BillGates

How to prevent the next pandemic

Once the military tried a kind of war game, the adversary in which was the pandemic of smallpox, the result of which, according to the businessman, was the total defeat of people. But, as Gates points out, he considers himself an optimist, and thinks that we can better prepare for the next viral or bacterial threat.

In a sense, we are now better prepared than in the eras of previous pandemics. We have antiviral drugs, which in many cases can somehow improve survival rates. We have antibiotics that can treat secondary infections, such as influenza-related pneumonia.

We are also close to creating a universal flu vaccine; Gates announced the day before that the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation would offer grants of 12 million dollars to encourage its development.

And we also strive for early diagnosis - this is important, since the first step in combating a new disease is quarantine. This week a new research article in the journal Science spoke about the development of a method of using gene editing technology Crispr for rapid disease detection and identification - as simple as a home pregnancy test.

But so far we are not good enough to quickly identify the threat of disease and coordinate the response, as the global response to the latest Ebola epidemic has shown us.

Gates noted that to ensure coordination it is necessary to ensure a wider link between the armed forces and governments. And he thinks that governments need ways to quickly attract the help of the private sector when it comes to developing technologies and tools to combat the emerging deadly disease.

Recently, Melinda Gates said that the threat of a global pandemic, regardless of whether it will arise naturally or be designed - perhaps the greatest threat to humanity.

“Think about the number of people who fly from New York to different ends of the planet every day — we are all interconnected,” she said.

These connections make us vulnerable.

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